Photo: Harry How / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Cleveland Cavaliers are slight 3.5-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Detroit Pistons at Rocket Arena on Monday, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The Pistons lead the series 2-1.
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Listen to the game on Newsradio WTAM 1100
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Predictions for Monday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Pistons 115, Cavaliers 114.
- Moneyline Pick: Pistons (+136)
- Total Pick: Over 213.5 (computer predicts 229.1 points)
- Pick ATS: Pistons (+3.5)
Recent Pistons vs. Cavaliers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/9/2026 | Cavaliers | -4.5 | 211.5 | -191 | +160 | 116-109 CLE |
| 5/7/2026 | Pistons | -3.5 | 215.5 | -162 | +136 | 107-97 DET |
| 5/5/2026 | Pistons | -3.5 | 216.5 | -158 | +133 | 111-101 DET |
| 3/3/2026 | Pistons | -2.5 | 228.5 | -147 | +122 | 113-109 CLE |
| 2/27/2026 | Pistons | -9 | 227.5 | -358 | +283 | 122-119 DET |
| 1/4/2026 | Cavaliers | -4.5 | 237.5 | -191 | +159 | 114-110 DET |
| 10/27/2025 | Cavaliers | -2.5 | 231.5 | -131 | +110 | 116-95 CLE |
| 3/28/2025 | Cavaliers | -6.5 | 233.5 | -273 | +221 | 133-122 DET |
| 2/5/2025 | Cavaliers | -3.5 | 234 | -159 | +135 | 118-115 CLE |
| 1/27/2025 | Cavaliers | -11 | 235 | -510 | +383 | 110-91 CLE |
| 10/25/2024 | Cavaliers | -10.5 | 225.5 | -581 | +425 | 113-101 CLE |
Cavaliers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Cleveland's ATS record is 34-47-1 this season.
- The Cavaliers have a 22-35-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more.
- Cleveland's games have gone over the point total in 40 out of 82 opportunities (48.8%).
- The Cavaliers have won 45, or 68.2%, of the 66 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season, Cleveland has won 41 of its 56 games, or 73.2%, when favored by at least -162 on the moneyline.
Pistons 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Detroit's ATS record is 44-38-0 this year.
- The Pistons are 6-1 against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season.
- Detroit has hit the over in 38 of its 82 games with a set total (46.3%).
- The Pistons have put together a 12-3 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 80% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer, Detroit has gone 5-1 (83.3%).
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Pistons vs. Cavaliers Injury Report
Cavaliers
Cavaliers: None
Pistons
Pistons:
Kevin Huerter: Day-To-Day (Adductor)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: Cleveland, Ohio
- Arena: Rocket Arena
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