Photo: Julio Aguilar / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Miami Heat (39-34) are 5.5-point underdogs against the Cleveland Cavaliers (45-28) at Rocket Arena on Friday, March 27, 2026. The game begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSOH, and FDSSUN.
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Listen to the game on Newsradio WTAM 1100
Cavaliers vs. Heat Predictions for Friday
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final result of Cavaliers 120, Heat 115.
- Moneyline Pick: Cavaliers (-220)
- Total Pick: Under 243.5 (computer predicts 235.7 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (+5.5)
Recent Cavaliers vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/25/2026 | Cavaliers | -2.5 | 242.5 | -147 | +124 | 120-103 MIA |
| 11/12/2025 | Heat | -5.5 | 239.5 | -202 | +168 | 130-116 CLE |
| 11/10/2025 | Cavaliers | -7.5 | 247.5 | -297 | +238 | 140-138 MIA |
| 4/28/2025 | Cavaliers | -8.5 | 211.5 | -395 | +308 | 138-83 CLE |
| 4/26/2025 | Cavaliers | -5.5 | 213 | -219 | +182 | 124-87 CLE |
| 4/23/2025 | Cavaliers | -12.5 | 213 | -676 | +484 | 121-112 CLE |
| 4/20/2025 | Cavaliers | -12.5 | 215 | -787 | +543 | 121-100 CLE |
| 3/5/2025 | Cavaliers | -13.5 | 220 | -893 | +592 | 112-107 CLE |
| 1/29/2025 | Cavaliers | -6 | 223.5 | -233 | +192 | 126-106 CLE |
| 12/8/2024 | Cavaliers | -2.5 | 223.5 | -139 | +117 | 122-113 MIA |
Cavaliers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Cleveland has compiled a 30-42-1 record against the spread.
- The Cavaliers have a 12-26 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.
- A total of 35 of Cleveland's 73 games with a set total have hit the over (47.9%).
- The Cavaliers have been favorites in 59 games this season and won 38 (64.4%) of those contests.
- Cleveland has a record of 26-9, a 74.3% win rate, when it's favored by -220 or more by bookmakers this season.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami is 43-29-1 ATS this season.
- The Heat are 9-5-1 against the spread when an underdog by 5.5 points or more this year.
- A total of 39 of Miami's 73 games with a set total have hit the over (53.4%).
- The Heat have been the underdog on the moneyline 37 total times this season. They've gone 17-20 in those games.
- Miami has gone 4-9 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +181 or longer (30.8%).
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Cavaliers vs. Heat Injury Report
Cavaliers
Cavaliers:
Craig Porter Jr.: Out (Groin),
Dean Wade: Out (Ankle),
Jaylon Tyson: Out (Toe),
Jarrett Allen: Questionable (Knee)
Heat
Heat:
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Questionable (Ankle)
Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBA TV, FDSOH, and FDSSUN
- Location: Cleveland, Ohio
- Arena: Rocket Arena
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